I do not like DVOA for QB/Individuals, that's for sure. For QBs I like ANY/A and my rating system. Have to imagine the discrepancy is due to strength of opposing defenses?
By DVOA the Lions offense has faced the 7th easiest schedule. The Bills offense has faced the 8th hardest schedule. In any other efficiency stat Stafford is not that far ahead of Tyrod. He's 5 spots better in passer rating, 3 spots better on ANY/A, 2 spots worse
in YPA. They've played about equally if you're talking about efficiency, DVOA gives a slight edge to Tyrod because of the strength of schedule. This is another case of a name, Matt Stafford, getting in the way of looking at things objectively.
It's also only week 5. DVOA isn't that great yet. The only stat that predicts future wins well is QBR. In that Stafford is 13th and Tyrod is 16th. I don't know why Stafford is the go-to for proving DVOA sucks, he simply hasn't been that great this year. He's extremely inconsistent. He's thrown almost 40 more times than Tyrod but only thrown about 200 more yards. With a much better receiving corps too.
What's so crazy about saying they're not that far off from each other thus far in 2017? If Stafford starts to pull ahead that will reflect itself in DVOA too.
Edited by HappyDays, 12 October 2017 - 03:42 PM.